Half of the 14 playoff berths are clinched after Game 16 of Week 1. Here’s where the NFL playoff picture stands after the Jaguars’ 19-3 victory over the Jets on Thursday night. Odds listed for making the playoffs, securing the No. 1 seed and winning the Super Bowl are all via AthleticismThe NFL betting model from, created by Austin Mock. The predicted playoff odds have been adjusted to account for possible Week 18 rest scenarios and injuries to quarterbacks Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson and Ryan Tannehill.
AFC playoff photo
| Seed | Team | Record | Result of week 16 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
x-1 |
11-3 |
at CHI |
|
|
y-2 |
11-3 |
vs. SEA |
|
|
x-3 |
10-4 |
to one |
|
|
4 |
7-7 |
vs. HOO |
|
|
5 |
9-5 |
vs. ATL |
|
|
6 |
8-6 |
at the IND |
|
|
7 |
8-6 |
vs. GB |
x – Place in the playoffs won | y — Unhooked division title
Buffalo Tickets
Up to three games in the AFC East standings, the Bills can clinch their third straight division title with a win or tie against the Bears on Saturday or a Dolphins loss or tie against the Packers on Sunday.
Remaining schedule: to Bearto bengalsvs. patriots
Odds: To make the playoffs: 100% | To win goodbye: 60.1% | Winning the Super Bowl: 14.2%
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs clinched their seventh consecutive AFC West title in Week 15, so the hunt for the No. 1 seed is all they have left. After losing head-to-head matchups to the Bills and Bengals, the Chiefs will need to finish with a better record than those two teams in order to secure a first-round bye and home-court advantage in the championship round. of the conference.
Remaining schedule: vs. sea hawksvs. Broncosto Raiders
Odds: To make the playoffs: 100% | To win goodbye: 36.2% | Winning the Super Bowl: 12.8%
GO FURTHER
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Cincinnati Bengals
The Jets’ loss to the Jaguars on Thursday qualified the Bengals for the playoffs. Cincinnati made its last consecutive playoff appearances during its five-year run from 2011 to 2015. Our model gives the Bengals a 68.5 percent chance of winning the AFC North.
Remaining schedule: to patriots, vs. Invoices vs. crows
Odds: To make the playoffs: 100% | To win goodbye: 3.7% | Winning the Super Bowl: 6.3%
Tennessee Titans
The Jaguars’ win on Thursday night puts more pressure on the Titans, who have lost four in a row, will “most likely” be without Ryan Tannehill for the rest of the season and now only holds a half-game lead in the AFC South standings heading into Tennessee’s Week 16 game against the Texas.
the jaguars won the first one-on-one meeting with the Titans. The second head-to-head — in Jacksonville in Week 18 — is shaping up to be a win-win matchup as long as the Jaguars post an equal or better record than the Titans over the next two weeks.
If the Titans enter Week 18 one game ahead of the Jaguars, a victory for Jacksonville in the regular season finale would tie both teams’ overall records and give the Jaguars the one-on-one tiebreaker. -head.
If the Jaguars go into Week 18 one game ahead of the Titans, a Tennessee victory would give the Titans the division based on a superior division record, as the two teams would enter their regular season finale 3-2 against AFC South in this scenario. Like the Titans, the Jaguars have one more game against the Texans on their schedule.
Our model gives Tennessee a 46.3% chance of winning the AFC South for the third straight year.
Remaining schedule: vs. Texasvs. cowboysat Jaguar
Odds: To make the playoffs: 47.7% | To earn a bye: 0.0% | Winning the Super Bowl: 1.6%
Baltimore Ravens
the crows can clinch a playoff spot this weekend with one of five scenarios that involve wins or ties by them and wins, losses or ties by up to seven other teams. There’s even a scenario that brings Baltimore in regardless of their outcome if the Patriots lose, the BrownsRaiders and Titans lose or tie, and the Chargers win.
But like Athleticismit is Jeff Zrebiec writtenit will be hard to see the Ravens as a serious contender come playoff time without a version of Lamar Jackson who can put this team on his back. The quarterback will miss his third straight game with a knee injury.
Remaining schedule: vs. Falconsvs. Steelersat the Bengals
Odds: To make the playoffs: 96.7% | To earn a bye: 0.0% | Winning the Super Bowl: 3.5%
Los Angeles Chargers
the Chargers clinch a playoff berth with a win at Indianapolis on Monday and a combination of losses or ties by the Raiders, patriotsjets and/or dolphins. According to our model, they face the seventh easiest remaining schedule, starting with a trip to Indianapolis to face a Colts team that will start quarterback Nick Foles for the first time this weekend.
The Chargers hold the head-to-head tiebreaker against the Dolphins and have a better conference record (6-4) than a few seven-win teams: the Patriots (5-4) and Jets (5-6). ). The Jaguars are also 6-4 against the AFC after their Thursday night win.
Remaining schedule: to Foalsvs. Ramsto Broncos
Odds: To make the playoffs: 85.8% | To earn a bye: 0.0% | Winning the Super Bowl: 3.7%
Miami Dolphins
Losers of three straight games, the Dolphins can’t clinch a playoff berth this weekend. Their upcoming games against the Patriots and Jets are potentially high leverage, given both teams are currently close to them in the standings.
Remaining schedule: vs. Packersat Patriots, vs. Jets
Odds: To make the playoffs: 82.5% | To earn a bye: 0.0% | Winning the Super Bowl: 4.2%
On the hunt
- Patriots (7-7) | Odds of qualifying for the playoffs: 23.0%
- Jets (7-8) | 5.4%
- Jaguar (7-8) | 54.9%
- Browns (6-8) | < 1.0%
- Steelers (6-8) | < 1.0%
- Raiders (6-8) | 3.0 percent
Eliminated
- Broncos (4-10)
- Foals (4-9-1)
- Texas (1-12-1)
NFC Playoffs Image
| Seed | Team | Record | Result of week 16 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
x-1 |
13-1 |
at DAL |
|
|
y-2 |
11-3 |
vs. NYG |
|
|
y-3 |
10-4 |
vs. HAS BEEN |
|
|
4 |
6-8 |
at ARI |
|
|
x-5 |
10-4 |
vs. ISP |
|
|
6 |
8-5-1 |
at MIN |
|
|
7 |
7-6-1 |
to SF |
x – Place in the playoffs won | y — Unhooked division title
Philadelphia Eagles
Eagles, Who will be without Jalen Hurts this weekend, clinched their ticket to the playoffs in Week 14, but have yet to officially clinch the NFC East or secure the No. 1 seed. Here’s how they can do both in week 16:
- Win the NFC East with a win or draw against the Cowboys
- Pick up No. 1 seed with a win over the Cowboys or with a tie over the Cowboys and a Vikings loss or tie over the Giants
Remaining schedule: to the Cowboys, against. Saintsvs. giants
Odds: To make the playoffs: 100% | To win goodbye: 95.0% | Winning the Super Bowl: 16.5%
Minnesota Vikings
Even if the Vikings lose, they can’t finish worse than the No. 3 seed. They can thank the sorry state of the NFC South for that.
According to our model, Minnesota has the sixth simplest remaining schedule.
Remaining schedule: vs. giantsto Packersto Bear
Odds: To make the playoffs: 100% | To win goodbye: 1.5% | Winning the Super Bowl: 9.0%
San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers recognize their chances of getting the No. 49ers. 1 seed is thin, but San Francisco made it clear this week that it is shoot to win and overtake the Vikings for the No. 1. 2 seed.
Remaining schedule: vs. Commandersat Raiders, vs. Cardinals
Odds: To make the playoffs: 100% | To win goodbye: 1.7% | Winning the Super Bowl: 7.2%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs hold a 6-8 game lead over the other three teams in their division, all of which are 5-9. Surprisingly, the Panthers control their own destiny, as they win their first game against the Bucs. The second comes in Tampa in Week 17. Our model gives Carolina a 10.4% chance of winning the NFC South, compared to 83.7% for the Bucs.
Remaining schedule: to Cardinalsvs. Panthersto Falcons
Odds: To make the playoffs: 83.8% | To earn a bye: 0.0% | Winning the Super Bowl: 3.3%
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys clinched a playoff berth last week when the Giants beat the Commanders, but according to our model, Dallas only has a 3.6% chance of winning the NFC East and a 1.8% chance of winning. get title #1. 1 seed.
Remaining schedule: vs. Eagles, to Titans, to Commanders
Odds: To make the playoffs: 100% | To win goodbye: 1.8% | Winning the Super Bowl: 5.1%
New York Giants
The Giants can secure their first playoff spot since 2016 this weekend with a win over the Vikings and a combination of losses from the Commanders, Lions and Seahawks. A simple win at Minnesota would boost the Giants’ playoff odds over 90%.
Remaining schedule: at Vikings, vs. Colts at Eagles
Odds: To make the playoffs: 80.1% | To earn a bye: 0.0% | Winning the Super Bowl: 2.9%
GO FURTHER
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Washington Commanders
Washington ceded significant leverage in the playoffs by losing to the Giants last week. The Commanders are a seven-point underdog for their road game against the 49ers.
Remaining schedule: at 49ers, vs. Browns vs. cowboys
Odds: To make the playoffs: 37.6% | To earn a bye: 0.0% | Winning the Super Bowl: 1.8%
On the hunt
- sea hawks (7-7) | Odds of qualifying for the playoffs: 18.1%
- the Lions (7-7) | 57.1%
- Packers (6-8) | 6.9%
- Panthers (5-9) | 10.4%
- Falcons (5-9) | 3.0 percent
- Saints (5-9) | 3.1%
Eliminated
- Bears (3-11)
- Cardinals (4-10)
- Rams (4-10)
(Photo: Vincent Carchietta/USA Today)
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